U.S. stock futures showed a mixed performance on Wednesday as traders awaited crucial inflation data. Attention is also focused on ongoing developments in the Israel-Hamas conflict.
Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average were up by 27 points, or 0.1%, while S&P 500 futures remained unchanged. In contrast, Nasdaq 100 futures declined by 0.1%.
Following significant gains on Tuesday driven by a softer-than-expected producer price index, the market is expected to pause as investors await the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) for July, scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time.
Currently, investors are optimistic about the Federal Reserve’s ability to manage inflation without derailing the economy. Nevertheless, recent market volatility suggests that any unexpected CPI data could provoke a sharp market reaction.
Economists surveyed by FactSet project that the inflation rate for July will remain steady at 3%, the same as June’s rate. However, they anticipate a monthly increase in overall inflation to 0.2%, reversing the 0.1% decline recorded in June.
Benjamin Schroeder, senior rates strategist at ING, highlighted potential concerns in a research note, stating that an unexpected rise in inflation could complicate the Fed’s position. Such a scenario might trigger a flight to safety, with bonds likely to be less favored in this context.
As of early Wednesday, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note was steady at 3.850%, maintaining levels from the previous day.
In other developments, the Middle East remains a focal point, with heightened tensions between Israel, Iran, and Hezbollah. The U.S. is intensifying diplomatic efforts, sending high-level officials to the region and pushing for renewed cease-fire negotiations between Israel and Hamas.
An escalation in the conflict could potentially drive up oil prices and increase market volatility, prompting investors to seek safer assets.